Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.