Wolfsburg
2 - 3
Mainz 05

Philipp (47'), Victor (66')
Arnold (51'), Schlager (56'), Philipp (75')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Boetius (44'), Quaison (54'), Bell (77')
Barreiro (29'), Bell (40'), Boetius (61')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 52.07%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Mainz 05
52.07%	23.59%	24.33%

Both teams to score 55.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.65%

45.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.31%

67.68%

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.58%

17.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.14%

47.85%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.37%

32.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.82%

69.17%

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 52.07%

Mainz 05 24.33%

Draw 23.59%

Wolfsburg	Draw	Mainz 05
1-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 9.72% 2-0 @ 8.68% 3-1 @ 5.66% 3-0 @ 5.06% 3-2 @ 3.17% 4-1 @ 2.48% 4-0 @ 2.21% 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.78% Total : 52.07%	1-1 @ 11.12% 0-0 @ 5.68% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.59%	0-1 @ 6.36% 1-2 @ 6.23% 0-2 @ 3.56% 1-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.49% Total : 24.33%