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Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 9, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
AL

Ajax
0 - 1
Atalanta


Gravenberch (22'), Tagliafico (52')
Gravenberch (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Muriel (85')
Hateboer (60'), Freuler (82')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.18%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawAtalanta BC
48.46%21.87%29.67%
Both teams to score 66.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.09%32.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.38%54.61%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.88%14.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.23%41.77%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.65%22.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.17%55.83%
Score Analysis
    Ajax 48.46%
    Atalanta BC 29.67%
    Draw 21.87%
AjaxDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 9.06%
1-0 @ 6.18%
2-0 @ 6.05%
3-1 @ 5.91%
3-2 @ 4.43%
3-0 @ 3.94%
4-1 @ 2.89%
4-2 @ 2.17%
4-0 @ 1.93%
5-1 @ 1.13%
4-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 48.46%
1-1 @ 9.26%
2-2 @ 6.79%
0-0 @ 3.16%
3-3 @ 2.21%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 21.87%
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-1 @ 4.73%
0-2 @ 3.54%
1-3 @ 3.47%
2-3 @ 3.39%
0-3 @ 1.77%
1-4 @ 1.3%
2-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 29.67%

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