Ajax
0 - 1
Atalanta

Gravenberch (22'), Tagliafico (52')
Gravenberch (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Muriel (85')
Hateboer (60'), Freuler (82')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Ajax and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.18%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Atalanta BC
48.46%	21.87%	29.67%

Both teams to score 66.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.09%

32.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.38%

54.61%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.88%

14.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.23%

41.77%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.65%

22.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.17%

55.83%

Score Analysis

Ajax 48.46%

Atalanta BC 29.67%

Draw 21.87%

Ajax	Draw	Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 9.06% 1-0 @ 6.18% 2-0 @ 6.05% 3-1 @ 5.91% 3-2 @ 4.43% 3-0 @ 3.94% 4-1 @ 2.89% 4-2 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 1.93% 5-1 @ 1.13% 4-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.69% Total : 48.46%	1-1 @ 9.26% 2-2 @ 6.79% 0-0 @ 3.16% 3-3 @ 2.21% Other @ 0.46% Total : 21.87%	1-2 @ 6.94% 0-1 @ 4.73% 0-2 @ 3.54% 1-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 3.39% 0-3 @ 1.77% 1-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.27% Total : 29.67%