Atalanta
2 - 2
Ajax

Zapata (54', 60')
Ilicic (23'), Djimsiti (66'), Malinovskiy (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Tadic (30' pen.), Traore (38')
Traore (6'), Klaassen (20'), Mazraoui (25')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Atalanta BC and Ajax, including prediction, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 52.57%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 24.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.63%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 2-1 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Ajax
24.16%	23.28%	52.57%

Both teams to score 56.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.85%

44.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.47%

66.54%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.86%

32.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.38%

68.62%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.2%

16.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.24%

46.77%

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 24.16%

Ajax 52.57%

Draw 23.28%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 6.21% 1-0 @ 6.13% 2-0 @ 3.48% 3-1 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 2.09% 3-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.59% Total : 24.16%	1-1 @ 10.93% 2-2 @ 5.53% 0-0 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.28%	1-2 @ 9.75% 0-1 @ 9.63% 0-2 @ 8.59% 1-3 @ 5.8% 0-3 @ 5.11% 2-3 @ 3.29% 1-4 @ 2.59% 0-4 @ 2.28% 2-4 @ 1.47% 1-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.14% Total : 52.57%