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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
May 15, 2021 at 12pm UK
KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
0 - 2
Connah's Quay


Stevens (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Horan (6'), Edwards (75')
Harrison (36'), Insall (39'), Edwards (76'), Owen (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
20.14%22.91%56.96%
Both teams to score 52.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.83%47.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.6%69.4%
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.41%37.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.63%74.37%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.67%16.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.08%45.92%
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 20.14%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 56.94%
    Draw 22.91%
Pen-y-BontDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 6.01%
2-1 @ 5.33%
2-0 @ 2.94%
3-1 @ 1.74%
3-2 @ 1.57%
3-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 20.14%
1-1 @ 10.88%
0-0 @ 6.14%
2-2 @ 4.83%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.91%
0-1 @ 11.12%
0-2 @ 10.07%
1-2 @ 9.86%
0-3 @ 6.09%
1-3 @ 5.96%
2-3 @ 2.92%
0-4 @ 2.76%
1-4 @ 2.7%
2-4 @ 1.32%
0-5 @ 1%
1-5 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 56.94%

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