Connah's Quay
4 - 0
Caernarfon

Insall (10'), Williams (69'), Morris (77', 90+2')
Wilde (37')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hayes (77'), Mendes (83')
Brass (67')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 61.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 16.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay Nomads	Draw	Caernarfon Town
61.51%	21.65%	16.84%

Both teams to score 50.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.22%

46.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.96%

69.05%

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.31%

14.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.13%

42.87%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.89%

41.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.35%

77.66%

Score Analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 61.5%

Caernarfon Town 16.84%

Draw 21.64%

Connah's Quay Nomads	Draw	Caernarfon Town
1-0 @ 11.58% 2-0 @ 11.1% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 7.1% 3-1 @ 6.31% 4-0 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 3.03% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-2 @ 1.35% 5-0 @ 1.31% 5-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.48% Total : 61.5%	1-1 @ 10.29% 0-0 @ 6.04% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.64%	0-1 @ 5.37% 1-2 @ 4.58% 0-2 @ 2.39% 1-3 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.85% Total : 16.84%