Atalanta
0 - 1
Real Madrid

Gosens (71')
Freuler (17')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mendy (86')
Casemiro (23'), Mendy (55')

Preview

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Real Madrid
31.02%	23.56%	45.42%

Both teams to score 61.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.59%

40.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.21%

62.78%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.76%

25.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.01%

59.99%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.91%

18.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.98%

49.02%

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 31.02%

Real Madrid 45.42%

Draw 23.55%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Real Madrid
2-1 @ 7.4% 1-0 @ 6.29% 2-0 @ 4.33% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.9% 3-0 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.55% Total : 31.02%	1-1 @ 10.74% 2-2 @ 6.33% 0-0 @ 4.57% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.55%	1-2 @ 9.19% 0-1 @ 7.81% 0-2 @ 6.67% 1-3 @ 5.24% 0-3 @ 3.8% 2-3 @ 3.61% 1-4 @ 2.24% 0-4 @ 1.63% 2-4 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.7% Total : 45.42%