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Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 21, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
NL

Atalanta
4 - 2
Napoli

Zapata (52'), Gosens (64'), Muriel (71'), Romero (79')
Djimsiti (55'), Gosens (87')
Piero Gasperini (26')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zielinski (58'), Gosens (76' og.)
Di Lorenzo (6')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawNapoli
45.78%23.96%30.26%
Both teams to score 59.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.33%42.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.93%65.08%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16%18.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.71%50.3%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.16%26.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.86%62.14%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 45.78%
    Napoli 30.26%
    Draw 23.96%
Atalanta BCDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 9.27%
1-0 @ 8.44%
2-0 @ 7.04%
3-1 @ 5.15%
3-0 @ 3.92%
3-2 @ 3.39%
4-1 @ 2.15%
4-0 @ 1.64%
4-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 45.78%
1-1 @ 11.1%
2-2 @ 6.09%
0-0 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.96%
1-2 @ 7.3%
0-1 @ 6.65%
0-2 @ 4.38%
1-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 1.92%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 30.26%

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