SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Club Brugge |
46.83% ( -0.07) | 24.24% ( -0.04) | 28.92% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 57.55% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.3% ( 0.25) | 44.7% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.93% ( 0.24) | 67.06% ( -0.24) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.78% ( 0.07) | 19.22% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.09% ( 0.11) | 50.91% ( -0.11) |
| Club Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% ( 0.21) | 28.76% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.39% ( 0.26) | 64.61% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Club Brugge |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 46.83% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 28.92% |
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