With a porous Atletico Madrid the favourites here, against a fearless Girona side, we expect to see goals at both ends in what promises to be another exciting tie.
The quality of the home side should ultimately shine through, however, as they aim to make up for their midweek defeat.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Girona had a probability of 17.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
0.01) 
-0) 
