Leverkusen are more than capable of making this a difficult match for Atletico, and it would certainly not be a surprise to see a home victory or a draw. Atletico are in good form at the moment, though, and we are backing Simeone's side to secure all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 52.6%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 24.44% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
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