We said: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Real Madrid
Atletico are set to be without some key players for this match, but the absence of Benzema is huge for Real Madrid and certainly makes them weaker. It is so difficult to back against Real Madrid at the moment, but Atletico must be respected at home, and we believe that a tight and nervy affair at Wanda Metropolitano will finish with the points being shared.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
2.55) 
-3.04) 
