SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Tobol had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Tobol win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zrinjski Mostar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zrinjski Mostar | Draw | Tobol |
42.84% ( 0.43) | 24.57% ( -0.17) | 32.59% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 58.35% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.5% ( 0.67) | 44.5% ( -0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.13% ( 0.64) | 66.87% ( -0.65) |
| Zrinjski Mostar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.14% ( 0.48) | 20.86% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.44% ( 0.75) | 53.56% ( -0.75) |
| Tobol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.73% ( 0.16) | 26.26% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.62% ( 0.22) | 61.38% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zrinjski Mostar | Draw | Tobol |
| 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 6.73% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.72% Total : 42.84% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.26% Total : 32.59% |
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