SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tobol win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Zrinjski Mostar had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tobol win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Zrinjski Mostar win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tobol | Draw | Zrinjski Mostar |
45.06% ( 0.57) | 24.58% | 30.35% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 57.27% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.54% ( -0.28) | 45.46% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.21% ( -0.27) | 67.79% ( 0.27) |
| Tobol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.73% ( 0.13) | 20.27% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.37% ( 0.21) | 52.63% ( -0.21) |
| Zrinjski Mostar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.83% ( -0.52) | 28.17% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.14% ( -0.66) | 63.86% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tobol | Draw | Zrinjski Mostar |
| 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.85% Total : 45.06% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.58% | 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.35% |
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