Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 48.33%. A win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Slovan Bratislava win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Zrinjski Mostar in this match.