Barcelona were excellent on Saturday, and it is very difficult to imagine Antwerp picking up a positive result in this match. Whether the Belgian side are able to make an impression in the group will not depend on Tuesday's game, which is their hardest in the section on paper, and we are expecting them to lose comfortably here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 18.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Royal Antwerp win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
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