Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Barcelona |
29.72% (![]() | 24.35% (![]() | 45.93% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.69% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.26% (![]() | 44.74% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.9% (![]() | 67.1% (![]() |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.76% (![]() | 28.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.06% (![]() | 63.94% (![]() |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.39% (![]() | 19.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.45% (![]() | 51.55% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Barcelona |
2-1 @ 7.21% (![]() 1-0 @ 7% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.43% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.73% Total : 29.72% | 1-1 @ 11.4% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.88% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.35% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.35% | 1-2 @ 9.29% (![]() 0-1 @ 9.02% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.35% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.99% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.19% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 3.06% Total : 45.93% |
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