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Champions League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 22, 2023 at 8pm UK
Bosuilstadion
AA

Antwerp
1 - 0
AEK Athens

Janssen (16')
De Laet (67'), Butez (90+2')
Bataille (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Szymanski (25'), Pineda (53')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leuven 1-1 Antwerp
Friday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: AEK Athens 2-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Saturday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Champions League

We said: Royal Antwerp 1-0 AEK Athens

Emotions may still be running high for AEK Athens in the wake of Saturday's extraordinary progression, but Almeyda's men should still offer a stern test to an Antwerp team who have not completely covered themselves in glory in recent weeks. Fatigue from a long journey to Belgium should eventually catch up to AEK, though, and Antwerp are seldom outfought on their own patch, so we can envisage the Belgian champions travelling to Athens with a slender lead to protect. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Antwerp win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Royal Antwerp win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Royal Antwerp in this match.

Result
Royal AntwerpDrawAEK Athens
41.51% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 26.46% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 32.02% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.86% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.17% (0.027999999999999 0.03)52.83% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.55% (0.023 0.02)74.45% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)
Royal Antwerp Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.87% (0.0019999999999953 0)25.13% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.17% (0.0020000000000024 0)59.83% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
AEK Athens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26% (0.034000000000006 0.03)30.74% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33% (0.039000000000001 0.04)67% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Royal Antwerp 41.5%
    AEK Athens 32.02%
    Draw 26.46%
Royal AntwerpDrawAEK Athens
1-0 @ 10.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4%
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 41.5%
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 9.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.37% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.02%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Leuven 1-1 Antwerp
Friday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Antwerp 6-0 Kortrijk
Friday, August 11 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Anderlecht 1-0 Antwerp
Sunday, August 6 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Antwerp 1-0 Cercle Brugge
Sunday, July 30 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Antwerp 1-1 Mechelen (5-3 pen.)
Sunday, July 23 at 5pm in Belgian Super Cup
Last Game: Genk 2-2 Antwerp
Sunday, June 4 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: AEK Athens 2-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Saturday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 1-2 AEK Athens
Tuesday, August 15 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Trabzonspor 1-3 AEK Athens
Sunday, July 30 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: AEK Athens 4-0 Volos
Sunday, May 14 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Aris 1-2 AEK Athens
Monday, May 8 at 7pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: AEK Athens 0-0 Olympiacos
Wednesday, May 3 at 6pm in Greek Superleague


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