SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 52.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barcelona in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Barcelona |
23.29% ( 0.89) | 24.4% ( 0.03) | 52.31% ( -0.92) |
| Both teams to score 51.85% ( 0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.22% ( 0.76) | 49.78% ( -0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.22% ( 0.68) | 71.78% ( -0.67) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.01% ( 1.26) | 35.99% ( -1.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.23% ( 1.26) | 72.76% ( -1.26) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81% ( -0.07) | 19% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.45% ( -0.11) | 50.55% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Barcelona |
| 1-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.89% Total : 23.29% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.38) 1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 5.34% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.22% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.09% Total : 52.31% |
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