SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 57.33%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 22.85% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.98%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (5.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Bayern Munich |
22.85% ( 0.1) | 19.82% ( 0.08) | 57.33% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 67.43% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.9% ( -0.27) | 29.1% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.9% ( -0.34) | 50.1% ( 0.34) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.16% ( -0.08) | 24.84% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.56% ( -0.12) | 59.44% ( 0.12) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.71% ( -0.13) | 10.29% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.32% ( -0.3) | 33.68% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 22.85% | 1-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.51% Total : 19.82% | 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.98% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 5.01% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 3.97% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.76% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.81% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.64% Total : 57.33% |
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