SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 77.27%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 8.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.28%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Freiburg |
77.27% ( -0.25) | 13.82% ( 0.21) | 8.91% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.16% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.45% ( -1.03) | 29.55% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.35% ( -1.26) | 50.64% ( 1.26) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.79% ( -0.26) | 6.2% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.55% ( -0.73) | 23.45% ( 0.73) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.74% ( -0.71) | 42.26% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.34% ( -0.61) | 78.66% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.29) 3-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.32)4-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.1)6-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.05)6-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.08)5-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.08)Other @ 4.37% Total : 77.27% | 1-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 13.82% | 1-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.9% Total : 8.91% |
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