With Benfica's situation in Group D almost precarious, the Portuguese giants should eke out a victory over Sociedad to close the gap on the current joint-leaders to one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 21.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Real Sociedad
53.85% ( -1.09)	24.4% ( 0.41)	21.75% ( 0.68)

Both teams to score 49.98% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.68% (

-0.89)

51.32% (

0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.85% (

-0.79)

73.15% (

0.79)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.01% (

-0.75)

18.99% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.46% (

-1.26)

50.53% (

1.26)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.69% (

0.17)

38.31% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.93% (

0.16)

75.06% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Benfica 53.84%

Real Sociedad 21.75%

Draw 24.39%

Benfica	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.05% Total : 53.84%	1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.39%	0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.53% Total : 21.75%