Real Sociedad have been tough to beat this season, but there have been too many draws early on. It would not be a surprise to see another stalemate here, as Getafe are playing well at the moment, but we are backing the hosts to navigate their way to an important three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 58.98%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 16.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
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