SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Benfica |
32.82% ( 1.72) | 24.83% ( -0.05) | 42.35% ( -1.67) |
| Both teams to score 57.54% ( 0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.4% ( 0.84) | 45.6% ( -0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.07% ( 0.79) | 67.93% ( -0.79) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.35% ( 1.51) | 26.65% ( -1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.1% ( 1.95) | 61.9% ( -1.95) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.45% ( -0.41) | 21.55% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.37% ( -0.64) | 54.63% ( 0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Benfica |
| 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.82% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.14)0-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.43)0-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.42)1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.26)2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 42.35% |
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