SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 52.2%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
52.2% ( -0.23) | 23.04% ( -0) | 24.76% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 57.96% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.52% ( 0.23) | 42.48% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.11% ( 0.23) | 64.89% ( -0.23) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.68% ( 0) | 16.32% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.1% ( 0) | 45.9% ( -0) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.27% ( 0.32) | 30.73% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.01% ( 0.37) | 66.99% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 3.37% Total : 52.2% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.91% Total : 24.76% |
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