Wednesday's game should certainly be close and intriguing, and Real Sociedad will be keen to mark their return to the Champions League with a positive home result, but the visitors do possess more quality and experience on the continental stage and we fancy them to take all three points in the opener.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
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