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Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Inonu Stadium
DL

Besiktas
1 - 2
Dortmund

Montero (90+4')
Welinton (43'), Montero (45'), Hutchinson (76')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bellingham (20'), Braut Haaland (45+3')
Meunier (55'), Moukoko (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 38.77% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 6.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (5.28%) and 3-1 (4.99%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
BesiktasDrawBorussia Dortmund
41.36%19.87%38.77%
Both teams to score 78.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
80.37%19.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
62.43%37.57%
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.8%11.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.27%35.73%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.99%12.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.53%37.47%
Score Analysis
    Besiktas 41.36%
    Borussia Dortmund 38.77%
    Draw 19.87%
BesiktasDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.83%
3-2 @ 5.28%
3-1 @ 4.99%
2-0 @ 3.22%
1-0 @ 2.95%
4-2 @ 2.89%
4-1 @ 2.73%
3-0 @ 2.35%
4-3 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 1.29%
5-2 @ 1.27%
5-1 @ 1.19%
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 41.36%
2-2 @ 7.24%
1-1 @ 6.24%
3-3 @ 3.73%
0-0 @ 1.35%
4-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.87%
1-2 @ 6.62%
2-3 @ 5.12%
1-3 @ 4.67%
0-2 @ 3.02%
0-1 @ 2.85%
2-4 @ 2.71%
1-4 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 2.14%
3-4 @ 1.98%
2-5 @ 1.15%
0-4 @ 1.13%
1-5 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 38.77%

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