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B
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 19, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Inonu Stadium
SL

Besiktas
1 - 4
Sporting Lisbon

Larin (24')
Vida (43'), Teixeira (47'), Ghezzal (58'), Pjanic (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Coates (15', 27'), Sarabia (44' pen.), Paulinho (89')
Porro (25'), Inacio (72'), Feddal (76')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 36.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.24%) and 2-3 (4.84%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
BesiktasDrawSporting Lisbon
36.61%21.1%42.29%
Both teams to score 72.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.84%26.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.58%46.42%
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.29%15.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.21%44.79%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.4%13.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.27%40.73%
Score Analysis
    Besiktas 36.61%
    Sporting Lisbon 42.29%
    Draw 21.1%
BesiktasDrawSporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 7.3%
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 4.49%
1-0 @ 3.96%
2-0 @ 3.66%
3-0 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 2.08%
4-2 @ 2.08%
4-3 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 36.61%
1-1 @ 7.89%
2-2 @ 7.28%
3-3 @ 2.99%
0-0 @ 2.14%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 21.1%
1-2 @ 7.87%
1-3 @ 5.24%
2-3 @ 4.84%
0-1 @ 4.26%
0-2 @ 4.25%
0-3 @ 2.83%
1-4 @ 2.61%
2-4 @ 2.42%
3-4 @ 1.49%
0-4 @ 1.41%
1-5 @ 1.04%
2-5 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 42.29%

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