SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 36.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.24%) and 2-3 (4.84%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Besiktas | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 36.61% | 21.1% | 42.29% |
| Both teams to score 72.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.84% | 26.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.58% | 46.42% |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.29% | 15.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.21% | 44.79% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.4% | 13.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.27% | 40.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Besiktas | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 2-1 @ 7.3% 3-1 @ 4.5% 3-2 @ 4.49% 1-0 @ 3.96% 2-0 @ 3.66% 3-0 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 2.08% 4-3 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.86% Total : 36.61% | 1-1 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 7.28% 3-3 @ 2.99% 0-0 @ 2.14% Other @ 0.8% Total : 21.1% | 1-2 @ 7.87% 1-3 @ 5.24% 2-3 @ 4.84% 0-1 @ 4.26% 0-2 @ 4.25% 0-3 @ 2.83% 1-4 @ 2.61% 2-4 @ 2.42% 3-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.41% 1-5 @ 1.04% 2-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.06% Total : 42.29% |
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