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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 19, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
SL

Estoril
0 - 1
Sporting Lisbon


Figueira (65'), Geraldes (90+4'), Rosier (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Porro (67' pen.)
Santos (84'), Paulinho (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 14.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.13%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawSporting Lisbon
14.5%22.74%62.77%
Both teams to score 42.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.98%55.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.71%76.29%
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.75%49.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.86%84.13%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.92%17.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.73%47.27%
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 14.5%
    Sporting Lisbon 62.75%
    Draw 22.74%
Estoril PraiaDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 5.96%
2-1 @ 3.73%
2-0 @ 2.11%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 14.5%
1-1 @ 10.53%
0-0 @ 8.42%
2-2 @ 3.29%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 22.74%
0-1 @ 14.86%
0-2 @ 13.13%
1-2 @ 9.3%
0-3 @ 7.74%
1-3 @ 5.48%
0-4 @ 3.42%
1-4 @ 2.42%
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-5 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 62.75%

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