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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
RB

Real Madrid
2 - 1
Real Betis

Junior (9'), Rodrygo (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Canales (17')
Gonzalez (25')

We said: Real Madrid 2-1 Real Betis

This is an incredibly difficult match to call, with Real Betis a tough nut to crack. The visitors can also take confidence from their recent record at Bernabeu, but Real Madrid are grinding out wins at an impressive rate, and we believe that a tight match will just end with Ancelotti's side claiming the points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 16.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Real MadridDrawReal Betis
62.37% (0.621 0.62) 21.21% (-0.116 -0.12) 16.42% (-0.506 -0.51)
Both teams to score 50.76% (-0.698 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.38% (-0.384 -0.38)45.62% (0.384 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.05% (-0.368 -0.37)67.94% (0.367 0.37)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.95% (0.066999999999993 0.07)14.04% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.39% (0.131 0.13)41.61% (-0.133 -0.13)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.05% (-0.86 -0.86)40.94% (0.859 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.49% (-0.777 -0.78)77.5% (0.77500000000001 0.78)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 62.36%
    Real Betis 16.42%
    Draw 21.2%
Real MadridDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 11.28% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 11.07% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.25% (0.17 0.17)
3-1 @ 6.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.56% (0.092 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.18% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.4% (0.04 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.25% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 62.36%
1-1 @ 10.07% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.75% (0.094 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 21.2%
0-1 @ 5.13% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.5% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-2 @ 2.29% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.34% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 16.42%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Espanyol 1-3 Real Madrid
Sunday, August 28 at 9pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-4 Real Madrid
Saturday, August 20 at 9pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 1-2 Real Madrid
Sunday, August 14 at 9pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Frankfurt
Wednesday, August 10 at 8pm in UEFA Super Cup
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Juventus
Sunday, July 31 at 3am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-2 America
Wednesday, July 27 at 3.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Real Betis 1-0 Osasuna
Friday, August 26 at 9pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 1-2 Real Betis
Saturday, August 20 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Betis 3-0 Elche
Monday, August 15 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Brentford 1-0 Real Betis
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: PSV 2-1 Real Betis
Saturday, July 23 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Real Madrid 0-0 Real Betis
Friday, May 20 at 8pm in La Liga


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