Keeping hold of Sadiq for the visit of the champions has been of paramount importance for Almeria, but there is only so much that the prolific 25-year-old can do against the Spanish and European champions.
Despite their midweek exploits and long journey home, Ancelotti's fully-fit side should have no problem picking up an opening-day win and giving Almeria a harsh dose of reality on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Almeria win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
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