Real Madrid had to come from behind to win narrowly at Almeria, and we are expecting this to be another tricky match for the champions considering Celta's quality. It would not be a surprise to see a draw in Vigo, but Real Madrid should just have enough to make it two wins from two at the start of the new season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
-2.87) 
3.32) 
