Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
