Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 61.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 15.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
