Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Porto had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Porto win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
