SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.35%) and 1-3 (5.21%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club Brugge | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
35.51% ( -2.57) | 22.03% ( 0.4) | 42.46% ( 2.16) |
| Both teams to score 68.84% ( -2.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.81% ( -2.47) | 31.19% ( 2.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.39% ( -2.97) | 52.61% ( 2.97) |
| Club Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.53% ( -2.22) | 18.47% ( 2.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.34% ( -3.88) | 49.66% ( 3.88) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.43% ( -0.2) | 15.57% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.47% ( -0.37) | 44.53% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Club Brugge | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.38)2-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4% ( -0.38)3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.31)4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.3)4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.51% | 1-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.53) 2-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.38)3-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.26)Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.44) 0-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.67)1-3 @ 5.21% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.59)2-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.35)1-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.15)3-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.13)1-5 @ 0.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.1% Total : 42.46% |
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