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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 29.98% and a draw has a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.09%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.21%).
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Aston Villa |
48.16% ( -0.21) | 21.85% ( 0.11) | 29.98% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 66.96% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.36% ( -0.52) | 32.63% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.69% ( -0.6) | 54.3% ( 0.6) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.88% ( -0.26) | 14.12% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.24% ( -0.51) | 41.76% ( 0.51) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.97% ( -0.2) | 22.03% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.64% ( -0.31) | 55.35% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.69% Total : 48.16% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.47% Total : 21.85% | 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.37% Total : 29.98% |
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