SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.58%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
46.29% ( -0.36) | 22.51% ( 0.13) | 31.19% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 65.22% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.78% ( -0.52) | 35.21% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.77% ( -0.58) | 57.23% ( 0.58) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.26% ( -0.33) | 15.73% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.16% ( -0.61) | 44.83% ( 0.6) |
| Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.4% ( -0.12) | 22.59% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.79% ( -0.18) | 56.2% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 3% Total : 46.29% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.51% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 31.19% |
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