Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
