Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 48.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 25.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.38%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 1-0 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
