Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 1-0 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.