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Serie A | Gameweek 2
Sep 26, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
AL

Torino
2 - 4
Atalanta

Belotti (11', 43')
Zaza (39')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Papu (13'), Muriel (21'), Hateboer (42'), de Roon (54')
Caldara (30'), Freuler (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 66.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Torino had a probability of 14.95%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Torino win it was 2-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
TorinoDrawAtalanta BC
14.95%18.62%66.43%
Both teams to score 56.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.34%36.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.18%58.83%
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.7%37.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.92%74.09%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.75%10.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.41%33.59%
Score Analysis
    Torino 14.95%
    Atalanta BC 66.43%
    Draw 18.62%
TorinoDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 4.23%
1-0 @ 3.77%
2-0 @ 1.86%
3-2 @ 1.59%
3-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 14.95%
1-1 @ 8.59%
2-2 @ 4.82%
0-0 @ 3.82%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 18.62%
0-2 @ 9.92%
1-2 @ 9.78%
0-1 @ 8.71%
0-3 @ 7.53%
1-3 @ 7.43%
0-4 @ 4.29%
1-4 @ 4.23%
2-3 @ 3.66%
2-4 @ 2.09%
0-5 @ 1.96%
1-5 @ 1.93%
2-5 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 66.43%


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