Atalanta
5 - 2
Cagliari

Muriel (7'), Papu (29'), Pasalic (37'), Zapata (42'), Lammers (81')

FT(HT: 4-1)

Godin (24'), Pedro (52')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A game between Atalanta BC and Cagliari, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 16.47%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Cagliari
63.39%	20.14%	16.47%

Both teams to score 54.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.26%

40.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.87%

63.12%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.77%

12.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.08%

37.92%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.08%

37.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.31%

74.69%

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 63.38%

Cagliari 16.47%

Draw 20.14%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Cagliari
2-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.93% 1-0 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 6.96% 4-0 @ 3.77% 4-1 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 3.37% 4-2 @ 1.77% 5-0 @ 1.58% 5-1 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.66% Total : 63.38%	1-1 @ 9.45% 2-2 @ 4.82% 0-0 @ 4.64% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.14%	1-2 @ 4.58% 0-1 @ 4.5% 0-2 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.56% 1-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.18% Total : 16.47%