Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
