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Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 21, 2021 at 8pm UK
Philips Stadion
G

PSV
5 - 1
Galatasaray

Zahavi (2', 35', 84'), Gotze (51', 88')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kilinc (42')
Marcao (75'), Luyindama (78')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawGalatasaray
51.44%22.72%25.84%
Both teams to score 60.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.98%40.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.62%62.38%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.31%15.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.24%44.76%
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.43%28.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63%64.37%
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 51.44%
    Galatasaray 25.84%
    Draw 22.72%
PSV EindhovenDrawGalatasaray
2-1 @ 9.63%
1-0 @ 8.3%
2-0 @ 7.69%
3-1 @ 5.95%
3-0 @ 4.75%
3-2 @ 3.73%
4-1 @ 2.75%
4-0 @ 2.2%
4-2 @ 1.73%
5-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 51.44%
1-1 @ 10.4%
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 4.48%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.72%
1-2 @ 6.52%
0-1 @ 5.62%
0-2 @ 3.52%
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 25.84%

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