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Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 3, 2021 at 7pm UK
Philips Stadion
M

PSV
3 - 0
Midtjylland

Madueke (19'), Gotze (29'), Gakpo (32')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Onyedika (72')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 48.49%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawFC Midtjylland
48.49%24.73%26.78%
Both teams to score 54.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.76%48.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.61%70.39%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.06%19.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.91%52.08%
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.81%32.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.32%68.68%
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 48.48%
    FC Midtjylland 26.78%
    Draw 24.73%
PSV EindhovenDrawFC Midtjylland
1-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 9.46%
2-0 @ 8.35%
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-0 @ 4.49%
3-2 @ 2.88%
4-1 @ 2.05%
4-0 @ 1.81%
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 48.48%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 6.42%
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.27%
1-2 @ 6.65%
0-2 @ 4.12%
1-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 26.78%

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