Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match.
