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Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2021 at 7pm UK
Türk Telekom Stadyumu
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Galatasaray
1 - 2
PSV

Diagne (84')
Kara (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Madueke (37'), van Ginkel (59')
Boscagli (64')
Boscagli (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match.

Result
GalatasarayDrawPSV Eindhoven
34.34%24.45%41.2%
Both teams to score 59.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.54%43.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.15%65.85%
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.27%24.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.72%59.27%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.82%21.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.95%54.04%
Score Analysis
    Galatasaray 34.34%
    PSV Eindhoven 41.2%
    Draw 24.45%
GalatasarayDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 7.94%
1-0 @ 7.32%
2-0 @ 5.11%
3-1 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 2.87%
3-0 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 34.34%
1-1 @ 11.35%
2-2 @ 6.16%
0-0 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.45%
1-2 @ 8.82%
0-1 @ 8.13%
0-2 @ 6.31%
1-3 @ 4.56%
0-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 3.19%
1-4 @ 1.77%
0-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 41.2%

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