Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.6%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
42.85% ( -0.31) | 23.01% ( 0.1) | 34.14% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 64.64% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.49% ( -0.45) | 36.51% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.35% ( -0.49) | 58.65% ( 0.5) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.43% ( -0.31) | 17.57% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.88% ( -0.54) | 48.12% ( 0.54) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.41% ( -0.1) | 21.59% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.32% ( -0.15) | 54.69% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.03% Total : 42.85% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 2% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.01% | 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.52% 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.6% Total : 34.14% |
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