SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.02%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 22.8% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.76%) and 1-0 (7.55%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
56.02% ( -0.14) | 21.18% ( 0.03) | 22.8% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 62.18% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.14% ( -0.02) | 35.85% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.06% ( -0.02) | 57.94% ( 0.02) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.2% ( -0.05) | 12.8% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.89% ( -0.1) | 39.11% ( 0.1) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.3% ( 0.08) | 28.7% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.48% ( 0.1) | 64.52% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.15% 4-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.13% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.1% Total : 56.02% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.18% | 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.32% Total : 22.8% |
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