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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 31, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
BayArena
LL

B. Leverkusen
2 - 3
RB Leipzig

Frimpong (39'), Grimaldo (45')
Boniface (12'), Frimpong (18'), Tapsoba (82')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kampl (45+7'), Openda (57', 80')
Rose (26'), Klostermann (61')
Rose (26')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, August 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-2 RB Leipzig

Ten goals were scored across two meetings between Leverkusen and Leipzig last season and another entertaining, end-to-end contest could be on the cards on Saturday. Alonso's men did the double over Die Roten Bullen last season and after resting a number of star players in midweek, we feel that they will find a way to come out on top once again on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.02%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 22.8% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.76%) and 1-0 (7.55%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawRB Leipzig
56.02% (-0.139 -0.14) 21.18% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 22.8% (0.107 0.11)
Both teams to score 62.18% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.14% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)35.85% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.06% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)57.94% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.2% (-0.047000000000011 -0.05)12.8% (0.048 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.89% (-0.1 -0.1)39.11% (0.101 0.1)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3% (0.079000000000008 0.08)28.7% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.48% (0.098999999999997 0.1)64.52% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 56.02%
    RB Leipzig 22.8%
    Draw 21.18%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 6.64% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.32% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.15%
4-1 @ 3.41% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.73% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.13% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 56.02%
1-1 @ 9.43% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.05% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.67% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.18%
1-2 @ 5.88% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.58% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.86% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.45% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.19% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 22.8%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Carl Zeiss 0-1 B. Leverkusen
Wednesday, August 28 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-3 B. Leverkusen
Friday, August 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Stuttgart (4-3 pen.)
Saturday, August 17 at 7.30pm in DFL-Supercup
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-1 Betis
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Arsenal 4-1 B. Leverkusen
Wednesday, August 7 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Lens 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, August 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RWE 1-4 RB Leipzig
Saturday, August 17 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-1 PSG
Saturday, August 10 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Wolves 3-0 RB Leipzig
Sunday, August 4 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Aston Villa
Thursday, August 1 at 1am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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