SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.67%) and 0-1 (5.63%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
32.05% ( -1.16) | 21.82% ( -0.16) | 46.13% ( 1.32) |
| Both teams to score 68.35% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.69% ( 0.3) | 31.31% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.24% ( 0.35) | 52.75% ( -0.36) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.76% ( -0.46) | 20.23% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.43% ( -0.73) | 52.56% ( 0.73) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.69% ( 0.57) | 14.31% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.87% ( 1.1) | 42.12% ( -1.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.05)4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 32.05% | 1-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.82% | 1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 5.67% ( 0.17)0-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 4.53% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 2.76% ( 0.14)2-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.11)3-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.62% Total : 46.13% |
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